Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 3.236985 3.790398 4.379500 5.050163 5.789390 6.576304 7.474255
2024-11-03 2.472078 3.237946 4.113907 5.176465 6.417052 7.806822 9.468273
2024-11-10 1.920418 2.800703 3.876885 5.257096 6.948028 8.921365 11.366779
2024-11-17 1.442846 2.351995 3.540206 5.147070 7.203974 9.692240 12.871662
2024-11-24 1.081250 1.977029 3.228317 5.007690 7.378238 10.338186 14.221011
2024-12-01 0.839735 1.718271 3.025222 4.969970 7.652445 11.092752 15.704788
2024-12-08 0.646494 1.488771 2.824355 4.900948 7.860047 11.749055 17.064990
2024-12-15 0.559049 1.414831 2.840451 5.130576 8.471581 12.939102 19.129054
2024-12-22 0.451037 1.277821 2.736087 5.165582 8.801795 13.754791 20.716090
2024-12-29 0.402529 1.244011 2.792902 5.442218 9.479778 15.050604 22.957447
2025-01-05 0.352252 1.194197 2.813900 5.658672 10.072165 16.238416 25.073627
2025-01-12 0.293857 1.110844 2.763684 5.752914 10.481139 17.176217 26.865894
2025-01-19 0.223208 0.978430 2.610126 5.671916 10.631590 17.769306 28.224566
2025-01-26 0.186348 0.920985 2.591353 5.813468 11.124696 18.858466 30.284600
2025-02-02 0.151289 0.855231 2.546162 5.903137 11.536200 19.836214 32.204859
2025-02-09 0.108860 0.745193 2.391577 5.784878 11.609670 20.320645 33.441301
2025-02-16 0.074644 0.640271 2.228589 5.634111 11.617943 20.702281 34.532577
2025-02-23 0.053381 0.569680 2.130555 5.593395 11.798892 21.338142 35.989494
2025-03-02 0.036130 0.499937 2.020763 5.518541 11.915351 21.874580 37.307590
2025-03-09 0.031338 0.494762 2.074256 5.767917 12.585597 23.260962 39.869535
2025-03-16 0.022484 0.453479 2.025116 5.805929 12.893362 24.097209 41.642905
2025-03-23 0.020256 0.457960 2.102160 6.105899 13.660645 25.651133 44.480487
2025-03-30 0.017115 0.451502 2.147103 6.340352 14.318483 27.044750 47.098484